КОГДА ИМПОРТЕРЫ ПЕРЕОРИЕНТИРУЮТСЯ НА ЭКСПОРТ НЕФТИ И ГАЗА — ШЕЛЬФОВЫЙ ГАЗ И ГЕОПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ ИЗМЕНЕНИЯ В ВОСТОЧНОМ СРЕДИЗЕМНОМОРЬЕ
https://doi.org/10.18611/2221-3279-2014-5-3(17)-68-80
Аннотация
Ближний Восток, как мировой поставщик наиболее дешевой нефти, продолжит определять ситуацию на нефтяных рынках. Значение американской «сланцевой революции» для мирового рынка сильно преувеличивается. Пока о каком-либо значимом эффекте говорить не приходится. Все осталось на своих местах. Мировой энергетический баланс скорее изменится из-за растущих потребностей Китая и возврата на нефтяной рынок Ирана. Особый интерес с геополитической и экономической точек зрения представляет открытие газового месторождения в Восточном Средиземноморье.
Список литературы
1. The summit communiqué also supports UAE over Iran’s seizure of three isles near the Strait of Hormuz.
2. A shale oil and gas field in the US discovered in autumn 2013, described as the biggest petroleum discovery in history, is larger than the Bakken and Eagle Ford shales combined, with potential for recoverable reserves put at 1000 bnbarrels The Global Prospects for Oil: The Geo-Politics for Natural Gas will be stronger. Consulted on Dec. 30th, 10:00 am. URL: http://www.thefreelibrary.com/The+Global +Prospects+For+Oil%3B+The+Geo-Politics+F or+Natural+Gas+Will...-a0353763954
3. Argus Dec. 20, 2013 Editorial.
4. See interview with author. URL: http://kurier.at/ wirtschaft/marktplatz/energieexpertin-kneissldie- usa-wollen-hohen-oelpreis/36.356.971
5. See also presentation by IEA chief economist Fatih Birol in Vienna, Nov. 18th, 2013: “The US will be the largest oil producer by around 2015. But this is only first chapter of the story. US shale output will not continue to increase beyond then. It will plateau and then decline after 2020”.
6. Interview with CEO Peter Voser in the Financial Times, Oct. 5, 2013.
7. Saudi Aramco’s General Supervisor for Gas Reservoir Management, Adnan Kanaan, in APS Review Vol. 81 No. 26; 23/31 Dec. 2013.
8. APS Review Vol. 81 No. 26; 23/31 Dec. 2013.
9. APS Review Vol. 81 No. 17 21/23 Oct. 2013 Gas Market Trends.
10. US-GCC Defence Ties: Pentagon on Oct. 17 said was to sell Washington’s GCC allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE 10.8 bn USD worth of the most advance American missiles and munitions, including “bunker-buster” bombs. The move followed a series of US weapons deals in recent years which had bolstered the air power and missile arsenals of GCC states.
11. To show Western powers he is a serious partner, Rohani has combined the Atomic Energy Organization with the Ministry of Electric Power. The first, and toughest, test is whether or not the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) will cede its control over Iran’s nuclear development programme.
12. Minister Zanganeh in Vienna on Dec. 4th 2013 at the OPEC Ministerial Conference.
13. APS Review 17, 23/30 April 2012 Gas Market Trends. Vol. 78.
14. Debate with the National Petroleum Authority and the Minister at the Université St. Joseph in Beirut on November 28th, 2013.
15. Lebanon’s Gas: On the Way in MEES, Energy & Geopolitical Risk, Vol. 3. No. 8. August / September 2012. By SamerKhalaf.
16. Financial Times Dec. 26th, 2013: Russia tightens links to Bashar al-Assad with Syria energy deal.
17. MEES. Vol. 3. No. 9 October 2012: Egyptian Revolution hits Energy Sector by James Cockayne. P. 14.
18. Petroleum Economist. Vol. 80. No 9, Nov. 2013. P. 8–9. Cairo looks to ease IOC pain by James Gavin.
Рецензия
Для цитирования:
Кнейсль К. КОГДА ИМПОРТЕРЫ ПЕРЕОРИЕНТИРУЮТСЯ НА ЭКСПОРТ НЕФТИ И ГАЗА — ШЕЛЬФОВЫЙ ГАЗ И ГЕОПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ ИЗМЕНЕНИЯ В ВОСТОЧНОМ СРЕДИЗЕМНОМОРЬЕ. Сравнительная политика. 2014;5(3(17)):68-80. https://doi.org/10.18611/2221-3279-2014-5-3(17)-68-80
For citation:
Kneissl K. WHEN IMPORTERS TURN TO EXPORTING OIL AND GAS — THE SHALE GAS HYPE AND CERTAIN GEOPOLITICAL CHANGES LIE AHEAD IN THE EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN. Comparative Politics Russia. 2014;5(3(17)):68-80. https://doi.org/10.18611/2221-3279-2014-5-3(17)-68-80
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