comparativepoliticsСравнительная политикаComparative Politics Russia2221-32792412-4990Издательская группа «Юрист»10.24411/2221-3279-2019-10047comparativepolitics-1072Research ArticleСРАВНИТЕЛЬНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ ЛОКАЛЬНОГО ОПЫТАCOMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF LOCAL CASESНАПРАСНЫЕ ВОЙНЫ: РАБОТАЕТ ЛИ МОДЕЛЬ ТИЛЛИ НА ПОСТСОВЕТСКОМ ПРОСТРАНСТВЕ?VAIN WARS: CAN THE TILLY’S MODEL EXPLAIN TRANSFORMATIONS ON THE POST-SOVIET SPACE?СилаевН. Ю.SilaevN. Yu.

старший научный сотрудник, Институт международных исследований

Москва

Senior Researcher, Institute for International Studies

Moscow

nikolai.silaev@gmail.comБолговаИ. В.BolgovaI. V.

доцент, кафедра прикладного анализа международных проблем

Москва

Associate Professor, Department of Applied International Analysis

Moscow

i.bolgova@inno.mgimo.ruМосковский государственный институт международных отношений (Университет) МИД РоссииРоссияMGIMO UniversityRussian Federation201918122019104Специальный номер "Незападные трансформации"133154Copyright © Силаев Н.Ю., Болгова И.В., 20192019Силаев Н.Ю., Болгова И.В.Silaev N.Y., Bolgova I.V.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.sravpol.ru/jour/article/view/1072

Влиятельная теория Чарльза Тилли о связи военной активности и государственного строительства в Европе Нового и Новейшего времени много применялась для анализа развития государственности за пределами Европы и Северной Америки. Однако она лишь ограниченно – в части борьбы и переговоров между государством и гражданами об изъятиях ресурсов в пользу государства – использовалась для анализа посткоммунистических трансформаций. Между тем, постсоветское пространство с его многочисленными неурегулированными конфликтами дает немало материала и для проверки собственно «военной» составляющей этой теории. Большинство авторов согласны с тем, что международный порядок, установившийся после Второй мировой войны, не допускает буквального воспроизводства схемы возникновения европейских национальных государств, разработанной Тилли. Данная статья показывает, что, хотя постсоветские конфликты имеют большое символическое значение для постсоветских государств, их материальное влияние на динамику государственных доходов и укрепление государственных институтов минимально. Это объясняется геополитическим контекстом, сложившимся вокруг конфликтов, в котором наращивание военной мощи вовлеченного в конфликт государства не может служить достаточным условием для его разрешения в желательном для этого государства направлении.

The influential theory of Charles Tilly explaining the relationship between military activity and state building in early modern Europe has been often used to analyze the development of statehood outside Europe and North America. However, in Post-Soviet space it was referred to only a limited extent – mainly operationalising the struggle and bargaining between the state and society over the extraction of resources in favor of the state - for the analysis of post-communist transformations. Meanwhile, the post- Soviet space with its unresolved conflicts provides a reach material for checking the “military” component of this theory. Most authors agree that the international order established after the World War II does not allow the clear replication of the scheme elaborated by Tilly. This article is aiming to show that, although post-Soviet conflicts are of great symbolic importance for post-Soviet states, their material impact on the dynamics of state revenues and on the strengthening of state institutions is minimal. This paradox may be explained by the international geopolitical context around the conflicts where the buildup of military power of a state involved in the conflict cannot serve as a sufficient condition for resolving the conflict in favor of the state.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.